Thursday, May 7, 2015

To Rage or Not to Rage: Here are your LBI 2015 Target Scores

Have you ever wondered what you needed to shoot to win the LBI Cup?  Maybe you wondered if that 10 you just took on the 8th hole of round 1 means you're out of it?  Maybe you need to know if that club toss 50 yards down the fairway was warranted or not. 

The LBI Champion over the past 5 years (Oob Era) has won with an average score of 3 over par.  The lowest winning score was -1 and the highest was +7.  The LBI isn't the PGA Tour which means at any point the leader board can shift 10-15 strokes.  With that said, the past winners have not had a mind set of winning but more of have fun and if it happen is happens.  

Below are a few facts from past LBI's and a a table to show the average score each golfer must shoot to reach a total net tournament score of 3 over par. 
  • Are you out after a 10 in round 1?  NEVER!!!  Troy had 10's in both rounds 1 & 2 yet finished 5 strokes back.
  • It's not the PGA tour so being 20 or 30 strokes back after round 1 doesn't mean you're out of it.
  • At any point and time someone near the top of the leader board will put up a big score or even a 10 which will change anything.  This happened in 2014.
  • Even the best go down.  Tim was coasting to victory last year but an off day shooting in the 80's took him out.  Note he made a strong comeback in Rd4 to finish 1 back.
  •  Last year Kevin made up 12 strokes on Al (3 round leader) and cleared him by 5 to win.
  •  Not a 2014 winner but Troy jumped from 17th to 6th in the final round moving from 18 strokes back to 5 strokes back.
What does this all mean?  The only thing predictable in the LBI are shotguns. With that said here are your target scores to reach a total of 3 over par for the LBI:

Al Samarias - 90
Brett Mikoy - 76
Brian Ciarlo - 84
Buddy Wilbanks - 85
Chris Mikoy - 80
Chris Stevens - 95
Dan Nall - 97
Doug Barszcz - 108
Drex Fitzwater - 95
Gabe Castro - 81
Jason Lich - 81
John Razos - 109
Kevin Shea - 88
Matt Moden - 96
Matt Sapsford - 88
Mike Hollandsworth - 91
Mike Savitch -78
Pat Shea - 99
Rob Weinig - 96
Rufus Knight - 91
Ryan Doyle - 98
Sam Pozez - 80
Steve Boswell - 95

Troy Welck - 115


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